Midterm Forecast: Why Democrats Could FLIP Texas, Kansas & Alaska Ep. 19

Are Trump voters handing Democrats the House? Even right-leaning pollsters, the ones who called Trump in 2016, now show a blue wave building heading into the 2026 midterms. In this VT Analytics midterm update, Tom Ellsworth breaks down the numbers. They include Trump’s negative approval spread, Gallup party ID at D+11 (the widest gap in years), and Democratic primary turnout up 48% while Republican turnout is down 2%. Rich Baris’s Big Data Poll shows Trump voters crossing over in North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas. We also cover: Senate toss-ups in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas and Texas (Talarico vs. Paxton) Kalshi prediction markets: 62% Democrats win the Senate, 90% Democrats win the House Governor races, including Amy Acton in Ohio and Byron Donalds in Florida Early voting: 5.7 million ballots in, with Democrats up nearly 26 points in returns Our final call for the House, Senate, and governors Election Day is November 3rd. Get out and vote. ------ 👞 Get the NEW Billionaire Suede Loafer: https://bit.ly/4ym5oRA 👕 SHOP THE ICON COLLECTION: https://bit.ly/3TuUU3x 👞 GET THE FLB1's: https://bit.ly/4mC4uf6 Ⓜ️ CONNECT ON MINNECT: ⁠⁠https://bit.ly/4kSVkso Ⓜ️ PBD PODCAST CIRCLES: https://bit.ly/4mAWQAP 👔 BET-DAVID CONSULTING: https://bit.ly/4lzQph2 🥃 BOARDROOM CIGAR LOUNGE: https://bit.ly/4pzLEXj 🇰 KALSHI: ⁠http://kalshi.com/pbd⁠ SUBSCRIBE TO: https://www.youtube.com/@PBDPodcast https://www.youtube.com/@ValuetainmentComedy https://www.youtube.com/@ValuetainmentShortClips https://www.youtube.com/@BetDavidConsulting ABOUT US: Valuetainment is the leading source for content on entrepreneurship, capitalism, and leadership. Founded by Patrick Bet-David, CEO, author, father, and host of the PBD Podcast. We deliver engaging conversations and debates on politics, business, current events, and pop culture, including interviews with today’s most influential leaders. Our mission is to enlighten, entertain, and educate current and future leaders around the world. The future looks bright!